Effects of Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Population in Urban Centers on Land Use Arrangement: A Case of Nakuru Town, Kenya

Dennis Annan Mogire, Jane Kagendo, Raphael Kweyu

Abstract


The study addressed the effects of spatiotemporal dynamics of urban of human population on land use arrangement in Nakuru town. Nakuru town attained its municipal status in 1952. Since then, its population has been growing steadily from 152289 in 1991 to 472126 in 2021 posing pressure on already limited urban land use arrangement. The study was guided by Hoyt Theory which assumes that urban land use arrangements are influenced by historical, economic and concentration of similar land use. The researcher used descriptive research design. Through Remote sensing, the study showed that area under settlement use increased from 7.66 to 54.78 km2, Lake increased from 36.02 to 44.01 km2 while area under Agricultural use decreased from 117.94 to 112.01 km2 and area under ‘Others’ decreased from 163.38 to 114.20km2. Field data from A sample size of 400 households showed that Settlement increased from 32. 67 to 42.34 km2, Lake increased from 36.02 to 44.01 km2, ‘Others’ decreased from 35.44 to 29.42 km2 and Agricultural decreased from 195.95 to 158.72 km2. Fragmentation and zonal use mix-ups were cited by 24.9% and 46.9% of the respondents respectively. Pearson’s Correlation between spatiotemporal dynamics of urban human population and Urban Land Use Arrangement disruptions was r=0.94. The study concluded that urban population affects urban land use arrangements. The study recommended that human population in urban centres should be checked in order to promote sustainable urban land use arrangements. In addition, there is a need to eliminate factors that affecting urban zoning policy implementation.

Keywords: Urban Land-use Arrangement; Nakuru Town land use arrangement, Spatiotemporal dynamics of human population, Urban centre

Full Text:

PDF

References


Ariti, A. T., Van Vliet, J., & Verburg, P. H. (2019). The role of institutional actors and their interactions in the land use policy making process in Ethiopia. Journal of Environmental Management, 237, 235-246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.02.059

Atasoy, M. (2018). Monitoring the urban green spaces and landscape fragmentation using remote sensing: A case study in Osmaniye, Turkey. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 190(12). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-018-7109-1

Das, M. B., & Sabina A. E. (2019). Inclusion Matters in Africa. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/32528

Das, S., & Angadi, D. P. (2021). Land use land cover change detection and monitoring of urban growth using remote sensing and GIS techniques: A micro-level study. GeoJournal. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-020-10359-1

Dzator, J., Acheampong, A. O., & Dzator, M. (2022). Urbanisation and sustainable development: Econometric evidence from Australia. Community Empowerment, Sustainable Cities, and Transformative Economies, 95-109. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-5260-8_7

Güneralp, B., Lwasa, S., Masundire, H., Parnell, S., & Seto, K. C. (2017). Urbanization in Africa: Challenges and opportunities for conservation. Environmental Research Letters, 13(1), 015002.

Kii, M. (2021). Projecting future populations of urban agglomerations around the world and through the 21st century. npj Urban Sustainability, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-020-00007-5.

Kiplagat, Jactson. (2018). Influence of County Land Use Planning on Sustainable Development: a Case of Molo Sub-county, Nakuru County-kenya [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. (n.d.) [Unpublished doctoral dissertation]. university of Nairobi.

Koroso, N. H., Lengoiboni, M., & Zevenbergen, J. A. (2021). Urbanization and urban land use efficiency: Evidence from regional and Addis Ababa satellite cities, Ethiopia. Habitat International, 117, 102437. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2021.102437

Kuang, B., Lu, X., Han, J., Fan, X., & Zuo, J. (2020). How urbanization influence urban land consumption intensity: Evidence from China. Habitat International, 100, 102103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2019.102103

Mbuyi, K. (2019). Kinshasa: Problems of land management, Infrastucture, and food supply. African Cities in Crisis, 148-175. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429048227-6

Menakanit, A., Davivongs, V., Naka, P., & Pichakum, N. (2022). Bangkok’s urban sprawl: Land fragmentation and changes of Peri-urban vegetable production areas in thawi watthana district. Journal of Urban and Regional Analysis, 1(1). https://doi.org/10.37043/jura.2022.14.1.4

Rahaman, S. N., & Shermin, N. (2021). Identifying built-up area expansion and comparing two conventional built-up area extraction method from LANDSAT imagery: A case study on Khulna city. Academia Letters. https://doi.org/10.20935/al758

Simwanda, M., & Murayama, Y. (2018). Spatiotemporal arrangements of urban land use change in the rapidly growing city of Lusaka, Zambia: Implications for sustainable urban development. Sustainable Cities and Society, 39, 262-274.

Soria, K. Y., Palacios, M. R., & Morales Gomez, C. A. (2020). Governance and policy limitations for sustainable urban land planning. The case of Mexico. Journal of Environmental Management, 259, 109575. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109575

Simwanda, M., Murayama, Y., & Ranagalage, M. (2020). Modeling the drivers of urban land use changes in Lusaka, Zambia using multi-criteria evaluation: An analytic network process approach. Land Use Policy, 92, 104441. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2019.104441

Sun, M., Wang, J., & He, K. (2020). Analysis on the urban land resources carrying capacity during urbanization——A case study of Chinese YRD. Applied Geography, 116, 102170. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2020.102170

Tendaupenyu, P., Magadza, C. H., & Murwira, A. (2016). Disruptions in landuse/landcover arrangements and human population growth in the lake Chivero catchment, Zimbabwe. Geocarto International, 32(7), 797-811.

United Nations. (2016). Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, New York: 38 p

United Nations. (2017). Drivers of Migration and Urbanization in Africa, New York.

United Nations Department of Economics and Social Affairs. (2019). World Urbanization Prospects. The 2009 Revision. United Nation Department of Economic and Social Affairs

Waters, E. A., Kiviniemi, M. T., Hay, J. L., & Orom, H. (2021). Dismissing “Don’t know” responses to perceived risk survey items threatens the validity of theoretical and empirical behavior-change research. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17(3), 841-851. https://doi.org/10.1177/17456916211017860

Willkomm, M., Follmann, A., & Dannenberg, P. (2020). Between replacement and intensification: Spatiotemporal dynamics of different land use types of urban and Peri-urban agriculture under rapid urban growth in Nakuru, Kenya. The Professional Geographer, 1-14.

Willkomm, M., Follmann, A., & Dannenberg, P. (2020). Between replacement and intensification: Spatiotemporal dynamics of different land use types of urban and Peri-urban agriculture under rapid urban growth in Nakuru, Kenya. The Professional Geographer, 73(2), 186-199. https://doi.org/10.1080/00330124.2020.1835500

Willkomm, M., Follmann, A., & Dannenberg, P. (2019). Rule-based, hierarchical land use and land cover classification of urban and Peri-urban agriculture in data-poor regions with Rapid Eye satellite imagery: A case study of Nakuru, Kenya. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 13(01), 1. https://doi.org/10.1117/1.jrs.13.016517

World Bank. (2017). East Asia and Pacific Cities: Expanding Opportunities for the Urban Poor. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://openknowledge.world bank.org/handle/10986/27614

Yang, J., Li, S., & Lu, H. (2021). Quantitative influence of land-use disruptions and urban expansion intensity on landscape arrangement in Qingdao, China: Implications for urban sustainability. Sustainability, 11(21), 6174.


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Bookmark and Share


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

SEREK publication https://serek.or.ke

 

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License